The financial crisis through which we have all
suffered (by 'we' I mean the ordinary man and woman), will turn out to have
been less of a crisis and more of a revolution.
Ironically, if you have been in a well-paying
job, in banking, consulting, IT, head hunting, recruitment, or any of the
adjunct functions which serve the City and the financial sector; or you have
been in the professional classes, the law, auditing and accounting; or the tame
and timid regulatory agencies, the financial crisis has not really caused much
damage to you in the longer term.
Oh sure, you may not have drawn down quite such
high bonuses as you were used to enjoying, but you have still been able to
continue to live very comfortably. Interest rates have been the lowest they
have been in any living memory, and they have remained at neo-negative rates
for a long period of time. You have been enabled to trade up in your property
purchases, borrowing significant sums of money, leveraged on your existing
properties, and in so doing, you have enabled the property market to resist the
ordinary impact of the crisis.
To a very large number of people however, the
'squeezed middle', those who are coming to the end of their immediate working
lives, but who are still supporting elderly parents, as well as children who
cannot find jobs; those who are still able to work and at the top of their
skills ladder in terms of knowledge and experience, but who are deemed 'too
old' to be employed by an ageist jobs market because they are over 55; those
who have been made redundant at the wrong age and thus forcibly retired and who
have been living on income from insufficient pensions, and who have watched
while the government has squeezed the life out of community spending in the
name of 'austerity'; those who work in teaching, nursing, policing, the fire
service or any of the other vital municipal service provisions on which our
communities rely so heavily, there is no end to the damage that the impact of
the financial crisis is causing.
The important distinction here is that the very
sector whose criminogenic behaviour caused the financial crisis in the first
place, the shady banksters with their shoddy banking practices and their
concomitant criminal banking activities; the legal services which were used to
protect their interests when the criminal banks were confronted by angry
clients who demanded redress; the complicit accountants who signed off on
every-increasingly dubious audits, and who conspired to make the books balance
and the figures look good; and the complicit regulators who looked the other
way and became apologists for the wrong-doing of their sector, all these
services continue to prosper and thrive.
We have observed the actions of a Parliamentary
Commission on Banking Standards which has sat in judgement on the actions of
those who wrought so much damage to the body financial, but what has really
happened as a result of their deliberations?
Frankly, very little!
The real outcome of the financial crisis has
been to cement in post those whose activities and actions did so much to damage
the interests of a very large sector of the British people, and has, by so
doing, enabled the whole rotten edifice to remain unreformed.
Take, as an example, the HBOS affair.
Back in April this year, the Parliamentary
Commission on Banking Standards published its Fourth Report - ‘An accident
waiting to happen’: The failure of HBOS.
Commenting on the publication of its Fourth
Report, the Chairman of the Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards, Andrew
Tyrie MP, said:
"The HBOS story is one of catastrophic
failures of management, governance and regulatory oversight.
The sums would never have added up: the
Commission has estimated that, taken together, the losses incurred by the
Corporate, International and Treasury divisions would have led to insolvency,
regardless of funding and liquidity problems, had HBOS not been bailed out by
both Lloyds and the taxpayer.
The Commission concluded that primary
responsibility for these failures should lie with the former Chairman of HBOS,
Lord Stevenson, and its former Chief Executives, Sir James Crosby and Andy
Hornby.
Only Peter Cummings has faced regulatory
sanction for HBOS’ failures. The Commission was surprised by this.
The Commission stated openly that It was
unsatisfactory that the FSA appears to have taken no steps to establish whether
the former leaders of HBOS are fit and proper persons to hold the Approved
Persons status elsewhere in the UK financial sector. The Commission has
therefore asked the regulator to consider whether these individuals should be
barred from undertaking any future role in the sector.
For the future, far more needs to be done.
Those responsible for bank failures should be held more directly accountable
for their actions and face sanction accordingly. The Commission will return to
this issue in its Final Report.
The regulators also have a lot of explaining to
do when it comes to their role earlier in the HBOS debacle. From 2004 up until
the latter part of 2007, the FSA was ‘not so much the dog that didn’t bark as
the dog barking up the wrong tree’.
The FSA responded favourably to a Treasury
Committee request for a comprehensive report, similar to that prepared on RBS,
not just into the failure of HBOS but also into the FSA’s own conduct. The
Treasury Committee has appointed specialist advisers whose job will be to
ensure that this work is done thoroughly..."
So, taken in the round, this means that a major
bank collapsed because those with the responsibility to ensure that they should
have done their job properly, failed to exercise their responsibilities
properly, with the result that others had to be appointed to oversee their
actions.
And the outcome has been to sweep the whole
fucking mess under the carpet in a traditional British way of reconciling these
scandals.Essentially, it has been decided that those responsible for the
biggest banking crash in living memory, to say nothing of the resultant scams,
frauds and other examples of financial skulduggery will not face any kind of
scrutiny by regulators or government. The revolving door at the top will go
round and former regulators will become bankers, accountants will become regulators,
the most egregious will be allowed to slink away with their pensions and their
pay-off's, while you and I will be ritually and righteously screwed!
Why?
Because I am slowly beginning to realise it is
becoming clearer that the aftermath of the financial crash and its attendant
outcomes was not just an accident waiting to happen. It was carefully thought-through
by a group of powerful elites who realised that they could use the implications
of the mess left behind by Gordon Brown and Ed Balls.
They could begin to dismantle the benefit
culture ethos which had undeniably been allowed to spread like a virus under
Brown. Brown believed that the City was bringing in the money because he wanted
to believe the bullshit the City told him. He, in turn, extolled their actions
in after-dinner speeches at the Mansion House, while spending public money like
a man with no arms, until even he was forced to realise there was nothing left
in the pot, as Liam Byrne so eloquently reminded his successor in post!
By driving out the poor, the indigent and the
work-shy and relocating them to other useless towns and cities in the Midlands
and the North, they would free-up a workforce in London who would be willing to
work for limited or minimum wages and zero-hours contracts, made up very much
of European immigrants driven to the UK by the awful financial conditions at
home, ready and willing to service the new post-crisis economy planned for the
new London.
In addition, their ambitions have begun a root
and branch restructuring of London and the South East, turning the whole sector
into an elite commercial and financial 'business' centre, coupled with a highly
desirable residential venue of choice for the fantastically wealthy, who will
want to use all the banking and financial services offered by the 'new City
elites', provided by a new breed of 'ask no questions' lawyers and accountants,
and protected by Boris Johnson's incessant promotion of the constantly parroted
demand for foreign capital, of whatever nature and provenance, to find its home
in London.
The London of the future is intended to become the
leading global financial centre, which will become an offshore-haven in its own
right for those with money (and there are plenty of them in other countries) to
invest.
I have just returned from a business trip,
which I shared with an architectural engineer. He was telling me of the vast
number of new high-rise residential buildings (over 60 at the last count) that
are being constructed in the centre of London. He talked about the number
which, once completed, will stand completely empty, having been already
purchased 'off plan' by wealthy foreign investors in China, Malaysia, the
Middle East and India, who own them but will never live in them. They will
stand permanently empty and idle, their windows bare, like huge stationary
ghost-structures, a monument to greed and funny-money.
Should you be tempted to believe that I am
exaggerating, I am going to quote extensively from an amazing article written
by Michael Goldfarb, a writer whose most recent book is;
'...Emancipation: How
Liberating Europe's Jews From the Ghetto Led to Revolution and Renaissance...'
I hope he will forgive me for re-quoting from his
piece here, but it is a superb illustration of what I have been trying to say.
Talking about the new property boom being
driven by foreign investors, he says;
"...This is what happens when property in
your city becomes a global reserve currency. For that is what property in
London has become, first and foremost. The property market is no longer about
people making a long-term investment in owning their shelter, but a place for
the world's richest people to park their money at an annualised rate of return
of around 10%. It has made my adopted hometown a no-go area for increasing
numbers of the middle class.
According to Britain's Office for National
Statistics, London house prices rose by 9.7% between July 2012 and July 2013.
In the surrounding suburbs they rose by a mere 2.6%. The gap between London
prices and those of the rest of the country is now at a historic high and there
is only one way to explain it.
London houses and apartments are a form of
money.
The reasons are simple to understand. In 2011,
at the height of the eurozone crisis, citizens of the two countries at the
epicentre of the cataclysm – Greece and Italy – bought £400m of London bricks
and mortar. The Italian and Greek rich, fearing the single currency would
collapse, got their money out of euros and parked it some place where
government was relatively stable and the tax regime was gentle – very, very
gentle. Considering that tax evasion in Italy and Greece was a significant
contributory factor to their debt problems, it just seems grotesquely cynical
to encourage this kind of behaviour.
But that's what Britain in general, and London
in particular, does. The city is essentially a tax haven with great theatre,
free museums and formidable dining. If you can demonstrate that you have a
residence in another country, you are taxed only on your British earnings.
And the savings on property taxes are
phenomenal. The property taxes on New York mayor Michael R. Bloomberg's $20m
London home come to £2,143.30 a year. That's $3,430. Clearly, the mayor bought
in at the right time. The Google executive chairman, Eric Schmidt, is reported
to be house-hunting here – he's looking in the £30m (about $48m) price range.
Yet he will pay a similar amount in property tax as Bloomberg does.
There are other facets of London real estate as
a medium of exchange. British gross domestic product has yet to return to
pre-crash levels, but the financial services industry has roared back. Banks
are paying out big bonuses again, and anyone looking for a safe investment is
getting into London property.
From the top of Parliament Hill, on Hampstead
Heath, look eastward. Out around the Olympic Park and beyond you see clumps of high-rise
apartment buildings sprouting like toadstools in a meadow after heavy rain.
These aren't being built to meet the calamitous shortage of affordable family
housing in the city; they are studio and one- or two-bedroom apartments.
The developments are financed by "off
plan" buying. Bonus babies look at the blueprints and put their money down
with no intention of living in what they've bought – just collecting decades of
rent. And it's not just those who work in London's financial district, the
City, who buy in. Hot money from China, Singapore, India and other countries
with fast-growing economies and short traditions of good governance is pouring
into London.
When I say property is money I mean it. An
astonishing £83bn of properties were purchased in 2012 with no financing – all
cash purchases. That's around $133bn.
The ripple effect of this frankly demented
situation is felt all over town. The foreign rich and the City rich (there is
some overlap) have made most of the centre of London unaffordable to any but
their own kind.
The overall economy of Britain certainly
doesn't justify these prices. Bank lending for businesses is flat, but mortgage
lending? It's as if the whole British economy is based on housing speculation
in the capital.
David Cameron's government seems to think that
is the case. Cameron may be pursuing austerity policies elsewhere in the
economy, doing virtually nothing to help subsidise employment or industry, but
his government has just started a "help to buy" scheme. The
government will guarantee up to 15% of the purchase price of a house up to
£600,000 ($960,000), if you have a 5% down payment.
Now it is beginning to feel that the next phase
of London's history will be one of transience, with no allegiance to the city.
I wonder whether those just parking their money here by buying real estate will
ever be able to provide the communal sensibility to help the city survive the
inevitable shocks it will experience in years to come.
How this story will end doesn't bear thinking
about. It seems a very reasonable bet, though, that those who use London
property as just another form of money aren't thinking about it at all..."
9 comments:
We are a sovereign nation with, as things stand now, both a central bank and a treasury which can create money. There can never be, therefore, nothing left in the pot, as suggested above. The trick is to get new money into the economy without cheapening its value, and the way to do that is to use it to create proportionate wealth, which which it can then be said to be backed. We can create as much as we need then, so long as we use it to create wealth and don't fritter it frivolously away.
This is not rocket science and it's not unknown either, it's just rarely considered.
I like your conclusion about the creation of a new currency - London residential bricks and mortar. The great thing is a bubble has been created (how else can you describe London property inflation compared with ordinary inflation) and will burst. When it does it won't harm the UK community at all as prices will crash. Meanwhile let's hope those who are charged with looking after anti-money laundering are doing their job. The solicitors' trust account has become the medium of choice for those spending their ill-gotten and turning a blind eye (wilful blindness) is endemic in the professions.
Linked to this yesterday, Wednesday, to make a point. Historically, it would not be the first time that the London economy has gone ape in this kind of way. Unluckily it never turned out well then either.
Interesting
if you haven't already checked Demetrius' link, you might like to check out my C@W post on sharia finance in London
still not sure that I should worry about any of this: there have always been areas in London that were out of the range of mere mortals - now there are more
but there's a lot more than just trickle-down to be had for the rest of us (& I'm not a City type, BTW)
each one of the abvoe are right in their own sense
rental properties london ontario
Waiting for some useful blogs....
apartment rentals london ontario
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Thanks for your insights. I heard about this topic before. Let's just hope for the best for the future of London economy. https://www.ticfinance.co.uk
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